Lake Erie Shoreline and Watershed Conditions Statement - Flood Outlook & Wind Warning

Posted by NPCA on Sunday, February 24th, 2019

This notice is intended to update the public and local municipalities of the condition of the Lake Erie Shoreline as it relates to the Niagara Peninsula and the eastern portion of Haldimand.

Environment Canada has issued a Wind Warning calling for damaging southwesterly winds for Haldimand County and the Niagara Region. Winds are currently gusting from the southwest to 120km/hr along the Lake Erie Shoreline. The direction and speed of the wind has caused water levels to rapidly increase in the Eastern Lake Erie Basin.  This could be a record-setting event. 

Water levels in Lake Erie at Port Colborne are currently at 175.7 m and are forecasted to rise another 1m.  Water levels could reach critical thresholds during this event.

            Current Water Levels – 175.7m (IGLD 85)

            Critical levels at Port Colborne – 176.8 m (IGLD 85)

            Forecasted Peak - 176.8 (IGLD 85)

Localized flooding of low-lying backshore areas is occurring.  Areas around local drains along Lakeshore Road in Wainfleet may be at risk of overtopping with the projected water level increases.  Currently, H.H. Knoll Lakeview Park in Port Colborne is experiencing flooding.

With an approximate 90% ice cover on Lake Erie, there is an increased risk of ice shove and piling along the Lake Erie Shoreline.    Residents living along Lake Erie are advised to closely monitor local conditions. 

The NPCA will continue to monitor these conditions and will issue further messages as required. Information on the Flood Status in the watershed and water levels within the Great Lakes and streams can be found on the NPCA’s website at:

This notice is in effect until 8:00 am, February 26th, 2019 and will be updated as required.



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