Lake Erie Watershed Conditions Statement - Flood Outlook for Dec. 31st, 2018

Posted by Michelle Cuthbert c/o NPCA on Monday, December 31st, 2018

This notice is intended to update the public and local municipalities of the condition of the Lake Erie shoreline as it relates to the Niagara Peninsula and the eastern portion of Haldimand County.

Environment Canada has issued a Special Weather Statement calling for strong southwesterly winds for Haldimand and Niagara. Winds will build throughout the day and will peak in the early morning hours of Tuesday. Winds will be 60km/hr gusting to 90km/hr and will begin to diminish in the afternoon. The direction and speed of the wind will cause water levels to rapidly increase in the Eastern Lake Erie Basin.

The Ministry of Natural Resources and Forestry (MNRF) are forecasting Lake Erie water levels at Port Colborne to increase due to surge by 1m over current water levels with significant wave heights up to 1.6m. Peak water levels are forecasted to occur during the early morning hours Tuesday. During this time, there is an increased risk of shoreline erosion and flooding resulting from strong wave action and surge. Residents living along Lake Erie are urged to monitor the situation closely.

Please note that Lake Erie static (calm and flat) water levels are above the long-term historical average and are forecasted to remain elevated through spring 2019. The potential for shoreline flooding and erosion is greater at this time due to the higher than normal Lake Erie water levels. Any moderate increase in West or Southwest winds will further increase this risk.

The NPCA will continue to monitor these conditions and will issue further messages as required. Information on the Flood Status in the watershed and water levels within the Great Lakes and streams can be found on the NPCA’s website at:

https://npca.ca/flood-status

https://npca.ca/stream-flow-monitoring

This notice is in effect until January 2nd, 2019 and will be updated as required.

For further information contact:

Ryan Kitchen

Water Resource Technician

Niagara Peninsula Conservation Authority

250 Thorold Road West, 3rd Floor

Welland, Ontario L3C 3W2

tel. (905) 788-3135 ext. 269

after hrs. (905) 658-1838

rkitchen@npca.ca

www.npca.ca

 
 
 

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