This notice is intended to update the public and local municipalities of the condition of the Lake Erie shoreline as it relates to the Niagara Peninsula and the eastern portion of Haldimand County.
Environment Canada’s Marine Forecast unit has issued a Gale Warning for the Eastern Lake Erie basin. Lake Erie will experience sustained Southwest winds at 65km/hr. this evening and into Saturday. Waves will reach heights in excess 1.5m. Winds will shift and diminish Saturday afternoon into Sunday.
The Ministry of Natural Resources and Forestry (MNRF) are forecasting Lake Erie water levels at Port Colborne to increase due to surge by 0.6m over current water levels with significant wave heights approaching 1.5m. Peak water levels are forecasted to occur late Friday evening through Saturday morning and will start to diminish Saturday afternoon. During this time, there is an increased risk of shoreline erosion and the potential for flooding resulting from strong wave action and surge. Residents living along Lake Erie are urged to monitor the situation closely.
Please note that Lake Erie static (calm and flat) water levels are well above the long-term historical average and are forecasted to remain elevated through spring 2019. The potential for shoreline flooding and erosion is greater at this time due to the higher than normal Lake Erie water levels. Any moderate increase in West or Southwest winds will further increase this risk.
The NPCA will continue to monitor these conditions and will issue further messages as required. Information on the Flood Status in the watershed and water levels within the Great Lakes and streams can be found on the NPCA’s website at:
This notice is in effect until Sunday October 21st, 2018 and will be updated as required.